Is 2023 a Good Time to Build a Custom Home

I was at dinner this last week with a group of friends. One of my friends is considering buying a new house or building a new house. He’s been on the fence about it for a couple years now. In between bites of delicious chicken, he asked, “Freddy, in your opinion, is it better to buy an existing home or build a custom home in Kuna in 2023?” I laughed a little because, this was a question that he had asked me every year for the last three years. However, given that he has had the question persistently on his mind, I felt it would be a good blog post to respond to for others seeking guidance on whether or not they should build a custom home in 2023. I’m not a big fan of writing out pro and con lists, so I’ll refrain from doing that and take a more analytical approach based on my “insider” knowledge of building custom homes.

Interest Rates

First, we have to factor in interest rates. Let me share a quick anecdote from last year. We’ll call it “A Tale of Two Custom Homes.” One custom home was delayed because the owner was concerned lumber prices were too high, and predicted they would come down (eventually). The other owner concluded that lumber was too high, but interest rates were really good, so they immediately moved forward on building their house. After 8 months of construction by the Ivory Construction team, they closed their loan. Interest rates had moved a little during their build process, but they had locked in their rate with a one-time close loan, making the interest rate change innocuous to their situation. Did they overpay for lumber? Absolutely. But they had a killer interest rate!


The second owner waited until lumber prices dropped a little. We commenced construction, and after 10 months of building, they closed on the loan. They saved 30% on their lumber compared to the first owner, but their interest rate was almost twice as much as the second owner. Both homes were in the million dollar range, but the second owner’s payment was significantly higher.


This is the part where you probably expect the builder to say something like “Don’t wait to build! Now is the best time!” Well, I’m not that type of builder. So I won’t give you that advice.


Here’s my advice–both clients got an incredible home at a price and timing they were comfortable with. One overpaid on lumber, the other got a higher interest rate. The good news–the client with the higher interest rate can always refinance if rates go lower. And, if rates don’t ever come back down to their record 3% lows, the client can rest assured that they built at the right time–waiting would inevitably have cost them more in interest.


Material and Labor Costs are Coming Down

This is a good point that clients bring up in every economy. However, here’s the short truth–the good craftsmen, the ones you want working on your home, typically don’t fluctuate their prices that much with the economy. Sure, you might get 2-3% lower labor costs, but it’s not going to be a huge swing like most people hope. Production builders and tract home builders can often build cheaper in down economies because their labor force takes on the “Walmart” approach–they want to build as much as they can for as cheap as they can and meet a minimum standard to provide the most house for the lowest cost. There’s nothing wrong with that business model, but you don’t want your custom home to follow that method. When you spend $50,000 or more on siding, you don’t want to have to replace it in a few years because it was installed by a crew who had to finish it in 2 weeks to make it profitable. You want true craftsmen to work on your project, and they take the same amount of time to install siding in a good economy as they do in a bad one.  They have to bid the job to pay for their time to do the project correctly.


My advice here–don’t try to time the market to build your custom home based on material and labor costs. Material will constantly swing up or down. Good labor generally costs the same no matter what the economy is doing, so if your
custom home builder tells you they “got a great price on labor” because the “economy is dipping,” you may want to check the references of that builder.

So is 2023 a Good Year to Build a Custom Home in the Boise Area?

We could continue to exhaust the analysis on this. However, I’ll cut to the chase and give you my “insider” opinion. Having built homes for people in different stages of life (some moving into Idaho from out of state, some needing to upgrade, build their dream home, or retire and live on the 20 acre hobby farm), the one big difference between people who tend to not be ready to build their dream home and those who are is how they view the decision. Let me explain.


The people who are looking to get the “best bang for their buck” on building their dream home tend to be slightly disappointed with the finished product. Not because they don’t get great value, but because they always question whether building sooner/later would have been better. If you’re viewing your custom home as an investment property to be flipped, you might be better off building a spec house with your builder and working out a financial split.


Building a custom home is more emotional than most other decisions. Can you build more house for less in different economies? Absolutely! But building a custom home is about building memories with your family and friends, not about timing the construction market just right to get 500sqft more than your neighbor for less money. If you’re ready to build memories in a place that is uniquely yours, and your finances permit you to do it, then you should find a builder to partner with and go for it! 


2023 is a great year to build your custom home! Ivory Construction would love to partner with you and build the foundation for future memories with your family and friends in a place you love.

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Often builders get so caught up in the world of construction that they fail to communicate well with clients about how the build process works. Since clients don’t build a custom home several times a year like the builders do, most are experiencing the construction process for the first or second time when they hire a custom home builder. To help answer some of the basic questions that will help you determine which custom home builder in the Boise area is the right fit for your project, I have outlined some key information below. This information is pretty general among all builders. If you want specific information for your project, I’m happy to meet with you to go over the details. How long does a custom home take to build? The answer to this question brings me back to when I was in law school—it depends. However, I can give some pretty generic information that will be a good rule of thumb for you. Drawing the plans, depending on the size of your home and detail involved can take between 1-3 months. Most builders need 2-4 weeks to dial in all the specific details with you and get a formal bid put together for your project. Then, permitting can take 1-2 months. Once the builder has a permit, signed contract, and your financing is in place, most custom builds fall into the 7-12 month timeframe to build. Specialty items that take longer to arrive like certain doors, windows, or appliances can push projects into the 15 month range. Overall, plan on about 18 months from the time you start plans to the time your home will be finished. There are a lot of variables involved of course. I have done some custom homes that took us about 7 months from drawings to client move in, and I have done others that took almost 2 years. But the median timeline for most of my projects to go from initial consultation to owner move-in is in the 18 month range. Do I have to decide everything before the builder can give me a bid? This is a great question. I’m going to break part of the answer into another heading. The short answer is, no. For example, custom home builders in Kuna and other areas in the Treasure Valley have a pretty good idea of their costs and can bid jobs without every detail outlined. That being said, specific things like concrete patios, siding type, stair style, number of bathrooms, flooring types (not necessarily specific flooring, but just a general idea of what rooms get tile, hardwood, carpet, etc.), and roof type are all important details that must be nailed down prior to bidding. However, for the items that are generic like “hardwood” or “granite” where you need to make a specific selection, most builders provide you with what is called an “ALLOWANCE.” What is an allowance item? Allowance items are things where the builder has gotten a general feel for the look and style you are going for, but you have not chosen a specific item, and therefore, the builder cannot get you an exact price for that part of the project. Example: You know you want real hardwood throughout the house, but have not selected the specific type/brand that will actually be put in. To get you an accurate bid and keep the process as streamlined as possible, most builders will provide you with an “allowance” amount for that line item. They’ll figure out how much material you need, then give you a general amount based on discussions with you that should cover your floor selections. If you don’t spend the exact amount in the “allowance” bucket for that item, the savings is passed on to you. On the other hand, any overages also get passed on to you. How much does it cost to build a custom home in Boise? This is another lawyer answer—it depends. However, since it is a common question, I want to hit on a few points. First, most builders can give a generic price per square foot of building that you want to build. Note that this is what most builders would call an “estimate” and not an actual bid. An “estimate” is when a builder is giving you general information to help you determine your next steps before you end up spending money to work directly with the builder and a designer to get the details of your project nailed down. A “bid” on the other hand is the contractual amount that the builder agrees to complete your project for. So, what does it cost? Every builder will have a different answer depending on the types of finishes they’re used to putting in their houses. Most of Ivory Construction homes have higher-end finishes, pushing my overall price up. For a basic custom home, $200-$250 per square foot is a good starting point that should allow you to build a nice home with nicer finishes. Keep in mind that this is just the cost of the home, and does not include the lot. Can I change my mind on finishes during the construction process? Yes—this is called a change order. This simply means the builder will evaluate the additional cost to make the change, and give you a bid for that change. Once you approve, the builder will move forward with it. Some builders have an additional “fee” associated with any changes to pay for their time to track down new pricing and work through details of making the change. How do I pay my builder during construction? This is a question all custom home builders want you to know the answer to, even if no one asks. Depending on how your project is financed, the process might vary. Typically, a builder will bill portions of the project each month based on the percent of the project complete and the actual work done on the project. For example, if the excavation and concrete (the first things on a project usually) total $60,000 for your home, and it is about 50% complete, the builder will bill for $30,000. If your project is financed through a bank, the bank will send out an inspector to confirm that the work has progressed according to the bill, and the builder, client, and bank sign off on the amount billed to be released. If you are paying cash for the build, you may choose to go through a title company to hold the funds for the project, but the billing process is similar as with a bank. The builder typically charges a fee (10-15%) of the project, and the builder fee is billed in portions with each bill being submitted. What are specifications? This is a document that specifies all the little details of your project. You will work with your builder to identify everything from flooring types, paint colors, to custom beams to be done in the house. This ensures the builder creates your vision, and if he varies from what is in the specifications, you can hold your builder accountable to make necessary corrections. What is the best type of contract to have to build my custom home? Most clients don’t even realize that there are different contract types that can be used to ensure the project and process fit the client needs. Here are a few of the contract types I use for custom home projects, and a little explanation for when they might be a good fit for your project. Hard bid : This is one of the more common contract used by custom home builders. A hard bid contract means that the builder dialed in all of the details to complete your project and is submitting a bid to you that says “I can build this home for this price and include all the items in the plans and specifications.” This type of contract puts the risk of price increases on your builder. However, any price savings are also passed to the builder. This is a great contract type for custom homes that are smaller in scope (5,000-8,000 soft) and have all the details dialed in. Cost plus : A lot of people think they have a cost plus contract with their builder because they see the builder’s mark-up on each invoice. A true cost-plus contract, however, is one where the builder passes all costs and savings to the client, and bills the builder fee as a percent on each invoice. This is different than a hard bid because now the risk of price increases is passed to the homeowner. In these scenarios, I usually provide my clients with a “good-faith-estimate” prior to starting the project. That way they have a general idea of what the job will cost. Then, during construction, they see every invoice that comes in, and any overages or savings get passed to them. Hard bid hybrid : I’ll be honest, I made this name up. However, with the onset of COVID and the ridiculous price volatility in construction, I found that the use of a hard bid contract was too much risk for me, but a full cost plus contract terrified some clients. To find a happy median, I started using a hybrid to a hard bid contract. In my hybrid contracts, I bid the labor portion of the project and guarantee that the labor price will not change (unless there is a change to the plans). Then, I take the material bids and pass any increase or decrease in cost to the client. That way I can still be responsible for the cost to build the project for a specific price, but do not have to try and “cushion” my bid to cover potential price increases in materials. As such, the client pays any overages or savings from material. Some line items are not easily broken out into labor and materials (plumbers and electricians rarely know exact material costs when bidding a custom home), but I’ve found ways to work with these and create a win-win for clients and contractors. I know I didn’t invent this contract—many builders smarter than me were using this method before I ever thought about it, but I’ve found this to be the fairest contract for most projects. Conclusion: There are a lot of specific details in construction that clients need to know before building a custom home in the Boise area. I’ve got more helpful tidbits of information to share, on my next post, but this should get us started. For specific questions, I’d love to give you information to help guide you in your custom home journey. Give me a call or email.
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